Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Royce Yudkoff & Rick Ruback - Entrepreneurship Through Acquisition - [Invest Like the Best, EP.423]

Overview

Content: Entrepreneurship Through Acquisition - A Decade of Evolution

Introduction and Context

Evolution of the Small Business Acquisition Space

- Funded searchers now target larger deals (around $20 million enterprise value) - Unfunded searchers focus on smaller businesses (under $1 million EBITDA) - Acquisition multiples have widened to a range of 3-8x

- SBA loan programs allow acquisitions with high leverage (80-90%) - Entrepreneurs can own 70-80% of a business with minimal upfront capital - "Independent sponsors" have emerged who aim to acquire multiple businesses without directly running them - The career path has transitioned from "quirky" to more mainstream and accepted

- Some searchers pursuing roll-up strategies - Increasing diversity of backgrounds among acquisition entrepreneurs (veterans, English majors, engineers) - Growing number of success stories making the path more attractive

Risk and Return Dynamics

- Funded searches now experience failure rates over 50% - Unfunded searches have much lower failure rates (less than 25%) - Unsuccessful due diligence - Sellers changing their minds - Business performance decline - Increased competition with strategic buyers and private equity

- Funded Search: Average IRR in low 30% range (significantly higher than private equity's low-to-mid teens) - Self-Funded Search: Even higher returns due to low purchase multiples (4x), high leverage (80%), with investors targeting 35% return while searchers retain 60-70% of common stock

- Low purchase multiples help quickly pay down debt - Difficult to completely lose invested capital - The model increasingly resembles venture capital portfolio strategy - Differs from traditional private equity risk distribution

Investment Landscape

Key Acquisition Target Criteria

1. Recurring Revenue - High-quality, predictable revenue (80-90% repeatability) - Allows offensive marketing strategies - Pairs well with financial leverage

2. Low Customer/Vendor Concentration - Avoid businesses overly dependent on single legacy clients or vendors

3. Avoid Economic Cyclicality - Cyclical businesses pair poorly with financial leverage

4. Manageable Business - Searcher must be able to learn and operate the business - Not necessarily an expert, but capable of developing necessary skills

- Multiples remain attractive, especially for smaller businesses ($750k EBITDA) - Growth is not a primary criterion - "The magic is in the multiples" in this market - Newly minted MBAs can successfully operate businesses outside their original experience

Business Selection and Management Approach

- Students examine 100+ companies for potential acquisition - They work in groups to evaluate and select potential businesses - No consensus emerges on "the best" company - selection is highly subjective - The goal is to develop judgment about "how good is good enough"

- Business location matters significantly to potential buyers - Personal ability to manage the business is critical - No single company will perfectly meet all desired criteria - Developing judgment comes from extensive exposure to "deal flow"

Funding and Investor Dynamics

- Searchers typically prefer a diversified cap table with 10-12 different investors - Investors want variety in advisors and ownership distribution - The search fund model has expanded beyond Harvard and Stanford MBA programs

Expansion Beyond Traditional MBA Programs

- Searchers are attracted by independence and control over their professional trajectory - Many see corporate employment as increasingly risky and unstable - Baby boomer business owners are a key source of acquisition targets

Typical Seller Profile

- Built business over 20-25 years - Lack a clear internal successor - Need professional management as business has grown - Have reached a point where they have "more money than time"

COVID-19 Impact and Market Dynamics

Business Types Attractive to Searchers

- Recurring/reoccurring revenues - Diverse customer and vendor bases - Non-cyclical service needs - Examples: roofing, HVAC, veterinarian services, overhead garage doors, automotive repair

- Searchers tend to buy niche software businesses serving specific markets (e.g., software for podiatrists, small municipalities) - Look for stable underlying markets with potential for incremental improvement - Avoid volatile, trendy software or tech businesses

Business Strategy and Roll-Ups

- Lower middle market investments typically yield consistent returns - Typical return pattern: multiple 3X investments, occasional 8X or 10X, with some 1X mixed in - Private equity firms find these returns attractive

- Lower middle market is unique because top talent consistently "graduates" to larger investment opportunities - Unlike other industries, successful teams naturally move to larger fund sizes and bigger company investments

Red Flags and Due Diligence

- "It's a job, not a company" - Over-reliance on personal relationships/expertise of a single owner - Multiple owners with different motivations can complicate deal closure - Need to carefully understand sellers' true motivations for selling

- In small firms, owners often run personal expenses through the business (typically around $100,000) - Buyers must carefully assess the extent of these personal expenses and the owner's ethical standards - Large personal expense add-backs (e.g., 50% of EBITDA) can signal potential risks

- Build in a margin of safety when pricing the deal to account for potential surprises - Small firms often have incomplete or inaccurate documentation about contracts, recurring revenue, licenses, sales tax payments, and employee compensation

Transaction Closing Strategies

- Conduct weekly meetings (preferably on Wednesdays) - Maintain consistent communication - Track progress and outstanding deliverables

- Sellers typically plan spending of the entire anticipated sale price in advance - Price renegotiations can become emotionally charged and potentially derail the deal - Competitive bidding processes make price concessions difficult

Post-Acquisition Growth and Performance

- Most businesses experience 5-10% losses initially - Reasons include seller's timing, learning curve, customer relationship transitions - Year three often represents the first strong performance year

- New owners often discover additional service opportunities by directly engaging with customers - Sellers may have previously been reluctant to pursue these opportunities - Younger, more energetic new owners are more likely to expand service offerings - Successful businesses often compound growth in years 7-12

- The professors guide students toward capital-light businesses with strong free cash flow - Capital investment decisions in these businesses are typically straightforward and episodic - Most small businesses are undercapitalized and must carefully ration capital - They advise caution with IT investments, recommending simple, low-cost solutions initially

Teaching Approach and Philosophy

- Extreme practicality, focusing on real-world lessons - Bringing case protagonists to class to help students answer: "Do I want to be this person?" and "Can I do what this person does?"

- They teach theory, but always contextualized through concrete, meaningful examples - The goal is to help students evaluate and prepare for a potential profession - They use real business cases to illustrate complex concepts - They emphasize pattern recognition in learning, particularly through case-based education

1. Nashton Partners - About two HBS graduates who bought a municipal extermination company 2. Capital Digital - Purchased by student Nick Anderson, highlighting challenges of small business information systems 3. Brian Bonk case - A PhD biology student who purchased the largest rabbit slaughterhouse in the US

Why More Graduates Don't Choose Search Funds

- Desire to work in enterprises with substantial resources - Want to be surrounded by highly educated colleagues - Seek to be part of something larger (e.g., working for a major brand) - Prefer structured work environments

- Requires significant independence - Involves creating one's own to-do list - Requires managing entire business strategy - Involves personal financial risk - Can be emotionally frustrating

Personal Reflections from Royce

- Desire to explore different life experiences - Confidence in next generation of partners - Recognition of having "more money than time"

Closing Thoughts

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