WSJ What’s News

Political Crisis in Germany as Merz Fails to Win First Vote as Chancellor

Key takeaways

Trump Administration Targets Elite Universities

The Education Department has cut Harvard off from new federal grants, with Secretary Linda McMahon accusing the school of violating federal law and failing to stop harassment of Jewish students. The administration is demanding oversight of Harvard's admissions, faculty hiring, and governance. Harvard President Alan Garber is fighting these demands, noting Columbia's unresolved issues with the government after weeks of negotiations. Similarly, Columbia faces proposed terms for federal oversight that could require "viewpoint diversity" among faculty.

Political Crisis in Germany

Conservative leader Friedrich Merz unexpectedly failed to secure enough votes to become Germany's next chancellor, marking the first time in the Federal Republic's history that a nominated chancellor wasn't elected on the first ballot. Despite his coalition having a 12-seat majority, Merz fell short in the secret vote. According to the German constitution, the Bundestag now has 14 days to elect a candidate, who may or may not be Merz. This political uncertainty comes at a critical time as Europe faces economic and security challenges.

Economic Uncertainty Challenges Fed and Businesses

The Federal Reserve faces a difficult balancing act as it meets amid Trump's tariff rollout. Officials must decide whether to hold rates steady to combat inflation or cut rates to support growth, potentially creating a lose-lose scenario of either recession or stagflation. Corporate America is similarly struggling with the uncertain economic outlook. Companies like Ford and Mattel have suspended their annual forecasts, while others are providing multiple guidance scenarios, highlighting the extraordinary level of economic uncertainty facing businesses and investors.

Commercial Real Estate Crisis Threatens City Budgets

Boston is experiencing a budgetary crisis that could foreshadow problems for other U.S. cities. Office values have plummeted by up to 50% as vacancy rates rise, particularly painful for Boston which relies heavily on commercial property taxes. The city has shifted the tax burden to homeowners, creating political tension for Mayor Michelle Wu. According to the Urban Brookings Tax Policy Center, commercial property tax revenues could decline by 3% by 2031 across major U.S. office markets, forcing cities to cut services or find new revenue sources.

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