Key Takeaways
- Partners Capital was founded post-tech bubble to offer transparent investment management, addressing private banks' conflicts of interest.
- The firm scaled to $1.5 billion by 2005 by adopting a slow-growth strategy and in-depth, "blank sheet" asset class analysis.
- Its endowment model emphasizes high static risk, multi-asset class diversification, and concentrated, specialist asset managers with personal investment.
- Manager selection involves team experience, quantitative analysis against multi-factor benchmarks, and psychometric assessments spanning 300-500 hours.
- Risk management has evolved, utilizing factor models to identify over/underweights and measuring risk using beta instead of volatility.
- A three-layer tactical asset allocation model is employed, aiming to generate alpha through sub-asset class moves that cover fees.
- The firm avoids large platform hedge funds due to high fees, preferring spin-offs with better terms (e.g., 2 and 20) and specialized focus.
- Partners Capital is exploring internal strategies for areas like "New World Equity" and energy transition where external managers are lacking.
Deep Dive
- Partners Capital was founded by Stan Miranda and Paul Dimitric after concentrated tech investments led to significant losses post-tech bubble.
- An investigation revealed private banks had conflicts of interest, lacked transparency, and provided managers with no alpha.
- The firm was created to be an independent, transparent investment management firm, inspired by Michael Porter's strategy work.
- Starting with $7.7 million, they initially served 43 private equity GPs and friends.
- The firm scaled to $1.5 billion by 2005, initially capping annual growth at $1.5 billion until the global financial crisis.
- Their endowment model, fully expanded to all asset classes by 2003 (private debt added in 2009), keeps a consistent core offering.
- Key pillars include high static risk and multi-asset class diversification biased towards illiquid assets.
- Another pillar is selecting concentrated, specialist managers who make significant personal investments.
- Portfolios contain risks beyond equity beta, such as geopolitical risk in China and regulatory risk in biotech, making public equities challenging.
- The firm moved beyond believing only top 8-10 venture capital managers were viable, now focusing on early-stage opportunities with emerging managers.
- They prefer early-stage managers spinning out of established firms, rarely investing in those without significant "reps."
- Quantitative due diligence uses a global funnel, eliminating 95% of equity managers by analyzing performance against multi-factor benchmarks.
- Risk management is a key endowment model evolution, utilizing factor models to identify over/underweights and presenting a 'risk dashboard' with over 16 metrics.
- They counter unintentional overweights using liquid instruments like ETFs or futures in portfolio construction.
- A three-layer tactical asset allocation (TAA) model includes rebalancing absolute risk (Layer 1) and adjusting 13 asset classes or seven betas (Layer 2).
- Layer 3 focuses on sub-asset class tactical moves, like successful railway investments, aiming to generate alpha to cover fees.
- Performance fees are emphasized on alpha, not beta, with fee negotiation possible for larger allocations.
- The firm modernized its endowment model by emphasizing risk management, tactical asset allocation, and acting as a value-added LP (e.g., a 70-page book on post-acquisition practices).
- Beta is used as a risk measure instead of volatility, rejecting volatility budgets that lead to counterintuitive trading.
- Partners Capital has shifted from passive public equity strategies to actively seeking managers, and also manages investments internally when external options are insufficient.
- They developed an internal "New World Equity Portfolio" post-COVID and are exploring a "brown to green" energy transition strategy, as external managers are not currently pursuing these.
- Private equity expected returns historically averaged 15%, focusing on lower middle market and software specialists with high earnings growth potential.
- Hedge fund investing is categorized into hedged equities and absolute return strategies, aiming for 3-4% stable alpha from 12-20 managers.
- The firm avoids large platform hedge funds like Citadel and Millennium due to high fees and low return on cost.
- Instead, they invest in spin-offs, often from Citadel, with better terms (e.g., 2 and 20) and specialized sector focus.
- "Alternative alternatives" include insurance, litigation financing, and royalties, offering uncorrelated, high single-digit returns with limited capacity.
- Partners Capital manages a $50 billion asset base, fostering improved relationships and transparency with asset managers.
- Succession planning at Partners Capital emphasizes a partnership model with multiple principals and natural transitions, rather than a single key person.
- The firm envisions potentially engaging in more direct investing in the future, identifying unexploited opportunities.
- Future vision outlines Partners Capital as a privately owned, management-run outsourced CIO, maintaining its reputation for thought leadership.
- The guest identifies mistaking alpha for beta and a past investment in catastrophe insurance (linked to global warming) as significant pet peeves and mistakes.